City-level vulnerability to temperature-related mortality in the USA and future projections: a geographically clustered meta-regression
Citation:
City-level vulnerability to temperature-related mortality in the USA and future projections: a geographically clustered meta-regression. The Lancet Planetary Health. Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam, Netherlands, 5(6). https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00058-9
Impact/Purpose:
Improving the understanding of current and future temperature-related mortality, including the changes in vulnerability observed over the past 3 decades.
Description:
Extreme heat exposure can lead to premature death. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme heat events, resulting in many additional heat-related deaths globally, as well as changing the nature of extreme cold events. At the same time, vulnerability to extreme heat has decreased over time, probably due to a combination of physiological, behavioural, infrastructural, and technological adaptations. We aimed to account for these changes in vulnerability and avoid overstated projections for temperature-related mortality. We used the historical observed decrease in vulnerability to improve future mortality estimates.
URLs/Downloads:
DOI: City-level vulnerability to temperature-related mortality in the USA and future projections: a geographically clustered meta-regression